Coronavirus Will Vanish After 70 Days With Or Without Intervention – Israeli Professor

April 27, 2020
87 Views

Prof

Professor Isaac Ben-Israel

An Israeli professor has claimed that coronavirus will disappear after 70 days with or without intervention.

The unproven claims were made by Professor Isaac Ben-Israel, who is the head of the security studies programme at Tel Aviv University.

He said that all efforts to stop the spread will lead to the same result because the virus is “self-limiting”, and peaks at 40 days before rapidly declining.

His calculations claim to show the pattern of daily new infections as a percentage of accumulated number of infections.

They start at around 30 per cent, but decrease to 10 per cent after six weeks, and ultimately reached a level of less than five per cent a week later.

In his own article he wrote: “Our analysis shows that this is a constant pattern across countries.

“Surprisingly, this pattern is common to countries that have taken a severe lockdown, including the paralysis of the economy, as well as to countries that implemented a far more lenient policy and have continued in ordinary life.”

When The Times of Israel asked him how the virus would die without any intervention, he said: “I have no explanation.

“There are all kinds of speculations. Maybe it’s related to climate, or the virus has a life-span of its own.”

In a television debate on Monday, Professor Gabi Barbash, a hospital director and the former Health Ministry director general, said that death tolls would have been far higher if Israel and other countries had not taken the steps against the virus.

The Daily Telegraph’s own analysis across 20 countries found the peak appeared to be closer to 60 days instead of 40.

In response to the claims, Professor Babak Javid, a consultant in infectious diseases at Cambridge University Hospitals told the publication: “To suggest that mitigation measures are irrelevant to the trajectory of the spread of the virus doesn’t take into account the fundamental concept of the dynamics of transmission of an infectious disease within infectious, susceptible and immune individuals in a population.”

He said if exponential growth is unchecked it will decline but that is only the case if a majority of the population are infected.

He added: “It is not true if mitigation efforts have reduced the base number of people infected.”

You may be interested

Ebonyi brings 15-count charge against PDP spokesman
News
7 views
News
7 views

Ebonyi brings 15-count charge against PDP spokesman

Webby - January 27, 2022

Ebonyi State Government has brought a 15-count charge against the Publicity Secretary of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Nwoba Chika…

AFCON 2021: Equatorial Guinea Stun Mali On Penalties, Zoom Into Quarter-Finals
Sports
3 views
Sports
3 views

AFCON 2021: Equatorial Guinea Stun Mali On Penalties, Zoom Into Quarter-Finals

Webby - January 26, 2022

Equatorial Guinea’s fairytale run at the Africa Cup of Nations continued as they sealed a dramatic 6-5 penalty shootout victory…

See complete results of Ekiti PDP governorship primary election
News
5 views
News
5 views

See complete results of Ekiti PDP governorship primary election

Webby - January 26, 2022

Spread the loveBisi Kolawole (Bisikay) has won the PDP Governorship primary election, beating Segun Oni to the second place. Kolawole,…

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published.